Poker odds Texas holdem
Poker odds the basics
1. Poker Top hands
The chances of getting a top starting hand in poker like a large pocket pair or ak is 2.1%. So you cant sit there and wait for these hands.
2. Over-pair to opponent
When your hole cards are a pair and your opponent has a pair also so if you have KK and they have JJ the over pair will win 80% of the time.
3. Being dealt a pocket pair
Unbelievable we get dealt a pocket pair around 6% of the time – this works out on average once every 17 hands.
4. suited cards
You will always hear people say but it was suited but that only improves your hand about 2.5% so don’t get sucked in to suited cards.
5. Chances of making a pair in poker
Playing your hole cards and them making a pair on the flop is 32% of the time
6. Runner runner exact cards
If the flop is on the board and you need runner runner cards on the turn and river the chance of getting them both is only 0.3%. if you get the first one the chance of getting the second is 4.5%.
7. By the river
If you play your hole cards to the river the odds of making a pair goes up to about 50%
8. Three of a kind
If you get dealt a pair, the odds of flopping a set are 7.5/1 so make sure it don’t cost you to many chips to flop the set. But if you do hit you will get paid because no one will see the set.
9. Open Ended Straight
If you play your connecting cards and flop a open ended straight draw you now have 8 outs i.e. if you was playing 7-9 and the flop come down 10-8-2 you will hit your 6 or your J about 31% of the time by the river so make sure you’re getting the pot odds to call to see the turn and river cards.
10. Flush draw
If you’ve got a flush draw, so if you have two of the same suit in your hand with two of the same suit on the flop you’ll will make a flush just over a third of the time about 35%
11. Inside gutshot straight
Its not worth drawing to your gutshot straight you only have 4 outs with the turn and river to come so approximately 9%
12. The standard race
What is often know as a coin flip or a race is two high cards against a pocket pair. Due to this a pocket pair will win 48% – 57% of the time. If the over cards are suited the pair will win 46% – 54% of the time.
13. Kicker problems
At times your top card can match the other person’s, this isn’t always an issue but if your kickers smaller (i.e. k Q against Q 10 ) this means you only got about a 1 in 4 chance of winning or 24%.
14. Suited connectors
If your holding aces then don’t worry! Although most say that suited connectors are better than aces, the over pair will beat suited connectors around 80% of the time. People say that the suited connectors are a winning because of the straight and flush possibilities, but as you can see, this isn’t the case.
15. Fish hooks
Pocket jacks should be played with caution, don’t get too carried away, because the chance of a higher card turning up on the flop is 52% and more than likely one of your opponents that have called you, have one of those cards and you could go broke.
16. All flushed up
Even if you have suited hole cards, but they are low, there is a reason for folding: the chance of flopping this flush is 0.8% so just chuck them in the muck!
17. Flopping two pair
There is only a 2% chance of having your hole cards flop two pair from non paired hole cards.
18. Full boat
If your holding two non paired hole cards like 9/10 and you hit the flop very well and get two pair, the chances of making a full house by the river is 16.74% – but if your hole cards are a pocket pair and you hit three of a kind on the flop, the odds of making a full house by the river are one in three or 33.4%.
19. Live cards
If your short stacked and you make a move and put all your chips in with any two cards and you get called, the best you can hope for is they don’t have a pair or any of your cards, so then your cards are live. This will win 35% of the time.
20. Poker hands